Track Record

Settled picks

The latest NFL picks to be graded against the final statistics. Live picks are not shown here — those are what a subscription buys.

How this is measured

• The record is NFL full-game player props, counted by when the game kicked off. Quarter and half props are not graded, so they are not counted either way.
• Every pick is graded against the final statistic for that player and game — NFL from the game's official box score, MLB from the MLB Stats API game log.
• Accuracy is wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes — where the result lands exactly on the line — and voided props are excluded from both sides, not counted as wins. A prop is voided only when the player did not take the field; a player who played and recorded nothing is graded on zero.
• Nothing is removed from the sample after the fact. The figure covers every pick that settled in the selected window, not a selection of them.
• No accuracy figure is published below 100 settled picks. That applies to every tier and every MLB market on its own, so each shows its win–loss record until it gets there.
• Edge Score tiers are the same bands shown on each pick (Elite 85+, Strong 75–84, Solid 65–74, Moderate 55–64, Thin <55). A pick is graded in the tier it was published in.
• Accuracy ignores price. A pick at standard −110 odds needs to win 52.4% to break even, but a heavy favourite (under 0.5 home runs, say) can win far more often than that and still lose money. That is why MLB is not blended into the NFL figure, and why its near-certain markets are marked and left out of its total.
• Some picks on finished games cannot be graded automatically — markets with no numeric outcome, or players our data provider does not cover. Those stay ungraded and are excluded from the rate rather than guessed at.
• We do not publish an ROI figure. Doing it honestly needs the exact price of the side each pick took, at the moment it was published. An October 2026 audit found that many of the prices we had recorded were for the opposite side of the bet, which made the return look far better than it was. We have fixed how prices are recorded, and will publish ROI again only once there is enough correctly priced history to check.